Pakistan: Antagonist or Peacemaker?

pakistan-flag“Pakistan is unpredictable and full of surprises, resulting from a complex heritage and deepening divisions within the country”, reasons Pasco analyst Aysha Patel. Pakistan is regarded by the West as both a major victim of terrorism and, possibly equally, a major sponsor of terrorism. It has been the scene of large scale acts of terror, such as the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, and has maintained ties to militant groups based on its soil. Patel explains, “over the passage of time since the Gulf oil boom, Pakistan has built a complex network of relationships with numerous jihadist terror groups, including the Taliban, and with terrorists like Osama bin Laden. Pakistan supported Bin Laden and the Afghan resistance against the Soviets in the 1980s. In the 1990s, Pakistan’s government supported the Taliban’s rise in Afghanistan in the hope of having a friendly government in Kabul. More recently, shivers passed down public spines when the world realised that elements of al-Qaeda and the Afghan Taliban, along with other terrorist groups, have made Pakistan’s tribal areas (the semi-autonomous region along the Afghan border) their base”. In recent years, CoFR's Jayshree Bajoria reported that “many new terrorist groups have emerged in Pakistan, several existing groups have reconstituted themselves, and a new crop of militants have taken control, more violent and less conducive to political solutions than their predecessors”.


Fear of India is the driving force behind Pakistan's pursuit of these relationships, however, in a dramatic turn of events, the Pakistani government has reportedly announced that it had proscribed some 25 terror organizations, support groups and radical religious entities in the last nine years. But ironically, Pakistan remains silent over some of the members of these terror outfits who are still free to carry out their activities in Pakistan and beyond. Pakistan has banned the Islamic charity which fronted for the LeT in December 2008, following the Mumbai terror attack, however, its leader Hafiz Saeed is a free man now after detained for six months following ‘lack of evidence’ against the Mumbai attack mastermind.

Pakistan is a pivotal lever for stability in the region; on the one hand a strategic launch pad for Western agencies in the war against terror and on the other, cultivating relationships with organisations possibly responsible for instability in the Kashmir a long drawn out thorn in the side of its biggest rival, India. Pakistani politics are an extremely complex problem. The problem goes deeper than announced policies and interacting regional dynamics; it is the spark plug for either stability or upheaval in the region, which has a knock on affect onto business interests across the Indian Sub-Continent.

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About Aysha Patel


Aysha Patel holds a master degree, is a Pasco analyst and a contributor to Pasco's Asia-Pacific region.